The World War Blame Game

The world seems to be getting closer and closer to the brink of a catastrophic global conflict.  Thank you George W Bush.

By Liam Bailey

As I lay out in my previous post the current stand-off over Iran’s increasing nuclear capabilities is extremely capable of plunging the world into a catastrophic global conflict.  The latest tit-for-tat of the U.S and others extending the deadline for Iran’s reply to the latest offer week-by-week, and Iran standing firm on replying when it suits them possibly as late as mid-august, backs-up my theory that neither side is willing to compromise sufficiently to reach a diplomatic solution.   It is my belief that Iran feared American attack after the “axis of evil” speech and made the announcement as a form of defence, as well as funding the terrorist militias in Iraq to bog down U.S forces, making an Iran invasion unlikely.  The testing of seven long-range missiles by North Korea on Wednesday 5th July, the promise of more from N. Korea’s Kim Jong II and the ensuing diplomatic tensions, I’m sure causing fear to many people in Asia.  Another taught standoff and with possibly catastrophic consequences.

Look at the worlds two main crisis points/possible conflict triggers, Iran and North Korea, what do they have in common?  They were both part of an imaginary “axis of evil” according to the U.S President before he invaded Iraq, now they really are becoming an “axis of evil.”  Iran is standing firm on its nuclear program being for peaceful purposes, and their right to enrich uranium for such purposes under the nuclear non-proliferation treaty, a right backed up by Russia, China and many other nations making sanctions almost impossible and war increasingly likely. North Korea claims its missile tests were in preparation to defend their national sovereignty, a claim generally met with scorn by the west.  Don’t you agree that if North Korea’s Kim Jong II went on television worldwide and said Britain, the United States and Japan pose a serious threat to the safety of the world, took up mass bombardment of Japan and then launched a ground force invasion, we would all expect a reaction from Bush and Blair to sure up our national security?

Of course Kim Jong II has clearly got it wrong, in attempting to increase self-defence capabilities I believe he has failed, but succeeded in increasing the likelihood of increased capabilities becoming necessary, as well as proving Bush right about the “axis of evil” statement to a certain extent.  The Friday following the test-firing, Japan proposed a U.N security council resolution ordering North Korea cease its ballistic missile program, including sanctions and a call for all other nations to take steps to keep North Korea from acquiring equipment needed to further the missile program.  Like the Iran stand-off most of the six-nations favour sanctions, it is China and Russia that still need to be convinced, but Japan maintain the need for sanctions their foreign minister Taro Aso according to the Kyodo News Agency said: “ Japan will not give in.  It definitely must be a resolution containing sanctions.”  Their senior vice minister Yasuhisa Shiozaki said security council members were privately “having positive discussions” and were chipping away at Russian and Chinese doubts.  If the Iran standoff is anything to go by that will not be an easy task.

Bush has seemed dedicated to achieving a diplomatic solution on North Korea, whereas in Iran’s case he doesn’t appear to be trying quite as hard.  Iran wrote a 27 page letter to President Bush at the beginning of the crisis, which was ignored by the U.S President at the time negotiating with Iran through the five-nations.  Even when he did offer to directly join the talks it was on the precondition of Iran ceasing enrichment, trying to secure the hopeful outcome of the talks before even coming to the table was either arrogant or optimistic to the point of stupidity, nothing strange for Bush though.  In North Korea’s case a U.S envoy is already in Seoul touring the region to coordinate a response to the missile tests.  Assistant secretary of State Christopher Hill is backing the Chinese proposal for informal six-nation talks, in the hope of bringing North Korea, currently boycotting formal talks because of U.S financial restrictions, back to the table.

The encouraging thing about both of these tense diplomatic standoffs is just that, they are diplomatic and not yet military standoffs, proving that Bush, despite his rhetoric is learning lessons from Iraq and Afghanistan that American oil imperialism no longer has free-reign.  The rate of his learning is slow in comparison to the rate the world is heading towards catastrophic conflict, so things will surely get worse before they get better.

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1 Comment

  1. January 11, 2007 at 5:28 pm

    Very amazing site! I wish I could do something as nice as you did…mary

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